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Problem 4 Consider the following probability distribution of returns estimated for a proposed project that involves a new ultrasound machine: State of the Probability Rate of of Occurrence Return Economy Very poor Poor Average Good Very good 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% a. What is the expected rate of return on the project? b. What is the project’s standard deviation of returns? c. What is the project’s coefficient of variation (CV) of retums? d. What type of risk do the standard deviation and CV measure? e. In what situation is this risk relevant? https://d2vlcm61l7u1fs.cloudfront.net/media%2F031%2F031596e8-e423-4be9-8f37-db0bf671677f%2Fimage

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  2. Draw a project network from the following information. What activity(s) is a burst activity? What activity(s) is a merge activity? ID Description A Order review B Order standard parts C Produce standard parts D Design custom parts E Software development F Manufacture custom parts G Assemble H Test Predecessor None C,D B,F E,G Which activity(s) is a burst activity? (You may select more than one answer. Single click the box with the question mark to produce a check mark for a correct answer and double click the box with the question mark to empty the box for a wrong answer.) https://d2vlcm61l7u1fs.cloudfront.net/media%2Fb44%2Fb440652f-429a-48d7-9594-2611b67d4ff5%2FphpO4EKZ9.png
  3. Here is a list of activity times for a project as well as the precedence relationships. https://d2vlcm61l7u1fs.cloudfront.net/media%2F4c2%2F4c20b8c5-0657-466e-b625-0c5fd6dfc531%2FphpXVE9pY.png a) Draw the AON (Activity-on-Node) diagram for this project. b) Determine the expected completion time for each path and its standard deviation. c) What is the probability that the project will require less than 48 weeks? Activity Most Likely Immediate Predecessor Start Optimisti
  4. https://d2vlcm61l7u1fs.cloudfront.net/media%2F113%2F113e9205-8547-4d60-87df-0e3d2eea1057%2Fphpe7LXWw.png ) Draw the network diagram. What is the expect completion time (state it explicitly)? What is the variance of project completion time? b) The deadline is 23 weeks? What is the probability of completing it on time? What is the probability of the project missing the deadline? c) As project manager, you will be paid a bonus if you finish the project in 19 weeks. What is the probability of achieving the bonus? d) What is the probability of finishing between 19 and 23 weeks? e) What is the timeline that would achieve a 60% probability of finishing ?