write a paper about what the factors to influence gas or oil price

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i want to write a paper about what kind of reasons influence the price of oil, while it needs the special methods about Quantitative Finance to collect all the datas and analyze them, finally this paper needs to show the final results that what the factors influenced the oil price.pls check the attachments, one is the requirement and another one is the book, you can check some Quantitative methods on it since we only need to use the methods on book to analyze data.
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